Mobile traffic to explode 40x in the next 5 years


TechCrunch reports (via Coda Research Consultancy):

As smartphones like the iPhone and Android take over the mobile Web, the amount of data traffic going over cellular networks is expected to grow 40-fold over the next five years. UK firm Coda Research Consultancy forecasts that in the U.S. alone mobile handset data traffic will grow from 8 petabytes/month this year to 327 petabytes/month in 2015. That amounts to a 117 percent compound annual growth rate.

We’d also like to draw attention to the following table:

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Mobile Internet users via handsets 84M 100M 113M 128M 145M 158M
Smartphone traffic as % of handset traffic 79% 90% 95% 97% 98% 98%
Feature phone traffic as % of handset traffic 21% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2%

Next year, 90% of “data traffic” over the next year will be from smartphones. The implications:

  • WAP-type protocols are effectively dead, except for legacy applications,
  • everyone interested in accessing Internet services are going to replace their “normal” cell with a smartphone in the very near future.